ENew DelHI: Uqoqosho lwaseIndiya oludodobalayo kunye namashishini axhomekeke kakhulu kwi-oyile ekrwada njengokuhamba ngenqwelomoya, ukuhambisa ngenqanawa, iindlela kunye nokuthutha ngololiwe kusenokwenzeka ukuba azuze ekwehleni ngequbuliso kwamaxabiso eoli ekrwada ngenxa yobhubhani we-coronavirus e-China, eyona oyile enkulu emhlabeni. othenga kumazwe angaphandle, batsho ooqoqosho, abaphathi abaziintloko kunye neengcaphephe.
Ngamashishini ahlukeneyo alungelelanisa isicwangciso sawo phakathi koqikelelo lwemfuno yamandla ethotywayo ngenxa yokuqhambuka kwecoronavirus, abarhwebi abakhulu beoyile abanje ngeIndiya bafuna ukuqhuba intengiselwano engcono.I-Indiya lilizwe lesithathu ngobukhulu emhlabeni ekuthengeni i-oyile kumazwe angaphandle kunye nomthengi wesine ngobukhulu werhasi yendalo engamanzi (LNG).
Imakethi yeoli ngoku ijongene nemeko ebizwa ngokuba yi-contango, apho amaxabiso aphantsi kuneekhontrakthi zexesha elizayo.
“Uqikelelo olwenziwa zii-arhente ezininzi lucebisa ukuba imfuno ekrwada yeQ1 yaseTshayina iza kuhla nge-15-20%, nto leyo ekhokelela ekucuthekeni kwemfuno ekrwada yehlabathi.Oku kubonakalisa amaxabiso akrwada kunye ne-LNG, omabini angenabungozi eIndiya.Oku kuya kunceda iIndiya kwiiparamitha zayo zoqoqosho olukhulu ngokuqulatha intsilelo yeakhawunti yangoku, ukugcina inkqubo yotshintshiselwano ezinzileyo kunye nokunyuka kwamaxabiso, utshilo uDebasish Mishra, iqabane laseDeloitte India.
I-Arhente yezaMandla yaMazwe ngaMazwe (IEA) kunye noMbutho waMazwe aThumela iPetroleum (i-Opec) banqumle imbonakalo yokukhula kwemfuno yeoli yehlabathi kulandela ukuqhambuka kwecoronavirus.
"Amacandelo afana neenqwelomoya, iipeyinti, iiseramikhi, ezinye iimveliso zamashishini, njl.njl. ziya kuxhamla kulawulo lwexabiso eliphantsi," wongeze watsho uMishra.
I-Indiya liziko lokucoca elingundoqo lase-Asia, elinomthamo ofakelweyo ongaphezulu kwe-249.4 yezigidi zeetoni ngonyaka (mtpa) ngokusebenzisa iindawo zokucokisa ezingama-23.Iindleko zebhaskithi ekrwada yaseIndiya, ephakathi kwe-56.43 yeedola kunye ne-69.88 yeedola ngomphanda kwi-FY18 kunye ne-FY19, ngokulandelelanayo, i-avareji yeedola ezingama-65.52 ngoDisemba ka-2019, ngokwedatha evela kwiSeli yoCwangciso lwePetroleum kunye noHlalutyo.Ixabiso laliyi-$ 54.93 umgqomo nge-13 kaFebruwari.Ibhaskithi yaseIndiya imele umndilili we-Oman, iDubai kunye neBrent crude.
"Kwixesha elidlulileyo, ixabiso leoli elibi libone inzuzo yenqwelo moya iphucuka kakhulu," utshilo uKinjal Shah, usekela mongameli wereyithingi yeshishini kwiarhente yokukala i-ICRA Ltd.
Ngexesha lokudodobala koqoqosho, ishishini lokuhamba ngenqwelomoya laseIndiya libone ukukhula kwezithuthi zabakhweli nge-3.7% ngo-2019 ukuya kwi-144 yezigidi zabakhweli.
“Eli inokuba lixesha elifanelekileyo lokuba iinkampani zeenqwelo moya zihlawule ilahleko.Iinkampani zeenqwelomoya zinokusebenzisa oku ukubuyisa ilahleko, ngelixa abahambi banokusebenzisa lo mzuzu ukucwangcisa uhambo njengoko iindleko zamatikiti omoya ziya kuba nobubele ngakumbi epokothweni, utshilo uMark Martin, umseki kunye ne-CEO eMartin Consulting Llc, umcebisi ngenqwelomoya.
Ukuqhambuka kwe-coronavirus e-China kuye kwanyanzela iifemu zamandla apho ukuba zirhoxise izivumelwano zokuhambisa kunye nokunciphisa imveliso.Oku kube nefuthe kumaxabiso e-oyile ehlabathi kunye nezinga lokuthumela ngenqanawa.Uxinzelelo lwezorhwebo kunye nokucotha koqoqosho lwehlabathi nako kukwaxhaphakile kwiimarike zamandla.
Amagosa kwiBhunga leMichiza yaseIndiya, iqumrhu loshishino, lathi i-India ixhomekeke kwi-China kwiikhemikhali kulo lonke ikhonkco lexabiso, kunye nesabelo selizwe ekuthengisweni kwempahla ukusuka kwi-10-40%.Icandelo lepetrochemical lisebenza njengomqolo kwamanye amacandelo ahlukeneyo emveliso kunye nalawo angayenziyo afana neziseko ezingundoqo, iimoto, amalaphu kunye nezinto ezihlala zisetyenziswa ngabathengi.
“Iintlobo ngeentlobo zemathiriyeli ekrwada kunye nabalamli zithunyelwa zivela eTshayina.Nangona, ukuza kuthi ga ngoku, iinkampani ezingenisa ezi zinto azichaphazelekanga kakhulu, ikhonkco labo lokubonelela liyoma.Ke, banokuziva benempembelelo ukuya phambili ukuba imeko ayiphucukanga, utshilo uSudhir Shenoy, umongameli welizwe kunye ne-CEO yeDow Chemical International Pvt.Ltd.
Oku kunokuba luncedo kubavelisi basekhaya beekhemikhali zerabha, i-electrode yegraphite, i-carbon black, iidayi kunye ne-pigments njengoko ukuthengwa kwempahla kumazwe angaphandle kwe-China okusezantsi kunokunyanzela abathengi ukuba bazifumanele ekhaya.
Amaxabiso asezantsi akrwada nawo azisa iindaba ezimnandi kwi-exchequer karhulumente phakathi kokunqongophala kwengeniso kunye nentsilelo yemali ekhulayo.Ngenxa yokukhula okukhawulezileyo kokuqokelelwa kwengeniso, umphathiswa wezemali u-Nirmala Sitharaman, ngelixa enikezela uhlahlo lwabiwo-mali lweManyano, wacela igatya lokubaleka ukuba lithathe i-50-based point leeway kwintsilelo yemali ka-2019-2020, ithatha uqikelelo oluhlaziyiweyo ukuya kwi-3.8% ye-GDP.
Irhuluneli ye-RBI uShaktikanta Das ngoMgqibelo uthe ukuhla kwamaxabiso eoli kuya kuba nefuthe elihle ekunyukeni kwamaxabiso.“Eyona nto iphambili kukunyuka kwamaxabiso okutya, oko kukuthi, imifuno kunye nezinto zeprotheyini.Ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kunyuke kancinci ngenxa yohlaziyo lwamaxabiso e-telecom,” wongeze watsho.
Kusindwa kukuhla kwecandelo lezemveliso, imveliso yaseIndiya iye yangena kwikhontrakthi ngoDisemba, ngelixa ukunyuka kwamaxabiso entengiso kuye kwakhula kangangenyanga yesithandathu ilandelelana ngoJanuwari, nto leyo ephakamisa amathandabuzo malunga nenkqubo yokubuyisela uqoqosho olusakhulayo.Ukukhula koqoqosho lwaseIndiya kuqikelelwa yi-Ofisi yeSizwe yezoBalo ukuba ifikelele kwi-11 yeminyaka ephantsi ye-5% ngo-2019-2020 ngenxa yokusetyenziswa ngokucothayo kunye nemfuno yotyalo-mali.
UMadan Sabnavis, ingcali yezoqoqosho kwi-CARE Ratings, uthe amaxabiso aphantsi eoli abe yintsikelelo eIndiya."Nangona kunjalo, uxinzelelo oluphezulu alunakuthintelwa, kunye nokuncitshiswa okulindelwe yi-Opec kunye namanye amazwe athumela ngaphandle.Ke ngoko, kufuneka sigxile kwindlela yokunyusa ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe kwaye sijonge ukonyusa unobangela wamaxabiso e-oyile asezantsi, oko kukuthi, i-coronavirus, kwaye sityhale iimpahla zethu ukuya e-China, ngelixa sijonge ezinye iindlela kubaboneleli abasuka kumazwe angaphandle.Ngethamsanqa, ngenxa yokuhamba kwemali ezinzileyo, uxinzelelo kwi-rupee ayisiyongxaki, ”wongeze watsho.
Ixhalabele imeko yemfuno yeoli, i-Opec inokuqhubela phambili intlanganiso yayo nge-5-6 kaMatshi, kunye nephaneli yayo yobugcisa icebisa ukucuthwa okwethutyana kulungiselelo lwe-Opec+.
"Ngenxa yokungeniswa kwentengiso enempilo evela eMpuma, impembelelo kwizibuko zekhonteyina ezifana ne-JNPT (i-Jawaharlal Nehru Port Trust) iya kuba phezulu, ngelixa impembelelo kwi-port yase-Mundra iya kunqunyulwa," kusho u-Jagannarayan Padmanabhan, umlawuli kunye nomsebenzi okhokelayo wezothutho kunye. ulungiselelo lolungiselelo kwiCrisil Infrastructure Advisory."Icala lelokuba ezinye zemveliso zinokusuka eTshayina ziye eIndiya okwethutyana."
Ngelixa ukunyuka kwamaxabiso akrwada ngenxa yokunyuka kwengxabano phakathi kwe-US ne-Iran yayihlala ixesha elifutshane, ukuqhambuka kwe-coronavirus kunye nemveliso esele iza kunqunyulwa ngamazwe e-Opec yazise into yokungaqiniseki.
“Nangona amaxabiso e-oyile ephantsi, izinga lotshintshiselwano (irandi xa lithelekiswa nedola) liyenyuka, nto leyo ekhokelela kwiindleko eziphezulu.Sikhululekile xa i-rupee imalunga ne-65-70 ngokuchasene nedola.Kuba inxalenye enkulu yeendleko zethu, kubandakanywa nepetroli yenqwelomoya, ihlawulwa ngokweedola, utshintshiselwano lwangaphandle luyinkalo ebalulekileyo yeendleko zethu, "umphathi ophezulu kwinqwelomoya esekelwe eNew Delhi uthe phantsi kwemeko yokungaziwa.
Ngokuqinisekileyo, ukuphinda kunyuke kwimfuno yeoli kunokuphinda kunyuse amaxabiso anokuthi aqhubele phambili nokunyuka kwamaxabiso kunye nokwenzakalisa imfuno.
Amaxabiso e-oyile aphezulu anempembelelo engathanga ngqo ngemveliso ephezulu kunye neendleko zothutho kunye noxinzelelo olunyukayo ekunyukeni kwamaxabiso okutya.Nawaphi na amalinge okuthomalalisa umthwalo kubathengi ngokuthoba irhafu yempahla yepetroli nedizili ingaphazamisa ukuqokelelwa kwengeniso.
URavindra Sonavane, uKalpana Pathak, u-Asit Ranjan Mishra, uShreya Nandi, uRhik Kundu, uNavadha Pandey kunye noGireesh Chandra Prasad bafake isandla kweli bali.
Ngoku ubhalisele iileta zethu zeendaba.Ukuba awukwazi ukufumana nayiphi na i-imeyile kwicala lethu, nceda ujonge ifolda yespam.
Ixesha lokuposa: Apr-28-2021